Blog, Strategies

Månadsuppdatering: Värde & Momentum

Posted by Erik Martin Hansén

Värde & Momentum är en portfölj som syftar till att identifiera bolag med god fundamental grund och positivt prisbeteende. Portföljvikter justeras för volatilitet och ändringar görs en gång i månaden. Med tålamod, disciplin och en systematisk positionshantering har vi goda förutsättningar till att överprestera över tid. 

Våra aktieportföljer ingår i vårt premiumpaket. Klicka här för att läsa mer om våra aktieportföljer och deras utveckling. 

Information

  • Direction: Long only (no short positions)
  • Strategic direction: Faktorbaserad aktiestrategi (värde & momentum)
  • Investment universe: Nordic
  • Portföljvikter: Volatility-adjusted (all holdings contribute similar risk)
  • Rebalancing frequency: Månadsvis
För vem passar portföljen?
För dig som vill ha en systematisk exponering mot nordiska aktier, men som inte nöjer dig med att bara följa ett index. Strategin passar dig som vill använda momentum som drivkraft, samtidigt som hänsyn tas till bolagens värdering för en disciplinerad och långsiktig aktieexponering.

Development

Under 2026 har portföljen stigit med 8,6 %. Som jämförelse är XACT Norden upp 1,2 % under samma period, tyngt av Novo Nordisk. XACT Sverige har stigit med 8,9 %.

Boliden, Cloetta and B2 Impact ASA har bidragit mest till portföljens utveckling, medan Nelly Group, Norion Bank and Ambea varit de största negativa bidragsgivarna.

Den kraftiga nedgången i Nelly Group har belastat portföljen med –1,1 % under 2026. Sett över de senaste två åren är Nelly trots detta portföljens näst största bidragsgivare efter B2 Impact.

Utvecklingen illustrerar hur strategin är konstruerad att fungera: vi tillåter vinnare att löpa, även om det innebär att delar av orealiserade vinster periodvis ges tillbaka. Det är en förutsättning för att fånga de större trender som driver den långsiktiga avkastningen.

Utveckling månad (%)
År Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Total
2023         -0,7 4,7 3,3 -1,7 0,5 1,1 -0,5 3,6 10,5
2024 4,2 4,4 6,7 3,1 6,0 -2,0 3,4 -0,4 1,8 1,4 1,0 1,6 35,7
2025 3,8 4,0 -5,2 0,3 3,7 5,2 3,9 0,7 3,8 1,3 0,6 2,2 26,8
2026 5,8 2,7                     8,6

Utvecklingen är endast vägledande och beror på exekvering, slippage och courtage.

Utveckling och drawdown, Year-to-Date

Förändringar och innehav

Aktier som faller ur rankingen säljs vid uppdateringen. Portföljen rebalanseras och frigjord likvid används för att investera i nya innehav. Antalet innehav varierar över tid beroende på portföljvikter som baseras på aktiernas volatilitet.

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More information:

A factor-based equity strategy systematically invests in stocks that exhibit certain characteristics – called factors – that have historically been associated with outperformance. Common examples include value, momentum, quality and low volatility.

The strategies are based on objective rules and data-driven analysis, not subjective judgments or gut feelings. This makes decision-making more consistent and less sensitive to market fluctuations. The portfolios are rebalanced regularly, often monthly, to adhere to the factors on which the strategy is based.

It is important to understand that factor strategies still invest in stocks and therefore have a high correlation with the stock market. They can therefore be expected to decline in value during broad market declines. Another risk is that factors can underperform for longer periods, which requires patience and discipline from the investor. The biggest risk is often not the model itself, but rather abandoning the strategy when things go wrong.

The Value & Momentum strategy combines two well-documented factors: low valuation and strong price momentum. The aim is to find stocks that are both fundamentally attractive and show a positive trend. The combination makes it possible to avoid so-called value traps – stocks that look cheap but continue to lose value.

Unlike a pure momentum strategy, which focuses solely on price gains and is often driven by a few big winners, Value & Momentum tends to provide a more even distribution of gains and losses. It reduces the reliance on individual extreme movements. At the same time, the strategy may miss some highly valued growth stocks with strong momentum that do not pass the value filter. Pure momentum often works best in strong bull markets with clear trends, while the combination of value and momentum tends to be more robust over time and in different market environments.

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Posted by Erik Martin Hansén
After studying at Uppsala University, Erik Hansén has worked in the financial industry since 2007 at several brokerage firms and traded privately. In his role as an analyst, Erik has written highly regarded market letters.

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