Blog, Strategies

Månadsuppdatering: Värde & Momentum

Posted by Erik Martin Hansén

Värde & Momentum är en portfölj som syftar till att identifiera bolag med god fundamental grund och positivt marknadsbeteende. Portföljvikter justeras för volatilitet och ändringar görs en gång i månaden. Med tålamod, disciplin och en systematisk positionshantering har vi goda förutsättningar till att överprestera över tid. 

Våra systematiska aktieportföljer ingår i premiumpaketet. På sidan modellportföljer på plattformen redovisas innehav och portföljvikter. Click here för att läsa mer om våra portföljer på hemsidan.

Information

  • Direction: Long only (no short positions)
  • Strategic direction: Värdering och momentum.
  • Investment universe: Nordic
  • Portfolio weights: Volatilitetsjusterat (alla innehav får vara med och bidra lika mycket)
  • Rebalancing frequency: Monthly

Development

Under 2025 har portföljen stigit med 24,1 %, att jämföra med XACT Sverige ETF som är upp 13,2 % och XACT Norden som stigit med blygsamma 1,5 %.

Den senaste månaden har Danske Bank, Jyske Bank och Ambea bidragit mest positivt till portföljen medan HKFoods, Pihlajalinna och CoinShares agerat största sänken.

År Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Total
2023         -0,7 4,7 3,3 -1,7 0,5 1,1 -0,5 3,6 10,5
2024 4,2 4,4 6,7 3,1 6,0 -2,0 3,4 -0,4 1,8 1,4 1,0 1,6 35,7
2025 3,8 4,0 -5,2 0,3 3,7 5,2 3,9 0,7 3,8 1,3 0,6   24,1

Utvecklingen är endast vägledande och beror på exekvering, slippage och courtage.

Förändringar och innehav

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More information:

A factor-based equity strategy systematically invests in stocks that exhibit certain characteristics – called factors – that have historically been associated with outperformance. Common examples include value, momentum, quality and low volatility.

The strategies are based on objective rules and data-driven analysis, not subjective judgments or gut feelings. This makes decision-making more consistent and less sensitive to market fluctuations. The portfolios are rebalanced regularly, often monthly, to adhere to the factors on which the strategy is based.

It is important to understand that factor strategies still invest in stocks and therefore have a high correlation with the stock market. They can therefore be expected to decline in value during broad market declines. Another risk is that factors can underperform for longer periods, which requires patience and discipline from the investor. The biggest risk is often not the model itself, but rather abandoning the strategy when things go wrong.

The Value & Momentum strategy combines two well-documented factors: low valuation and strong price momentum. The aim is to find stocks that are both fundamentally attractive and show a positive trend. The combination makes it possible to avoid so-called value traps – stocks that look cheap but continue to lose value.

Unlike a pure momentum strategy, which focuses solely on price gains and is often driven by a few big winners, Value & Momentum tends to provide a more even distribution of gains and losses. It reduces the reliance on individual extreme movements. At the same time, the strategy may miss some highly valued growth stocks with strong momentum that do not pass the value filter. Pure momentum often works best in strong bull markets with clear trends, while the combination of value and momentum tends to be more robust over time and in different market environments.

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Posted by Erik Martin Hansén
After studying at Uppsala University, Erik Hansén has worked in the financial industry since 2007 at several brokerage firms and traded privately. In his role as an analyst, Erik has written highly regarded market letters.

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