Blog, Strategies

Monthly Update: Volatility & Quality

Posted by Erik Martin Hansén

Volatilitet & Kvalitet är en faktorbaserad och systematisk aktieportfölj som ger exponering mot amerikanska kvalitetsbolag i etablerade och stabila upptrender. Urvalet baseras på både fundamenta och prisdata. Portföljen rebalanseras månadsvis med målet att uppnå en högre riskjusterad avkastning än amerikanska aktiemarknaden.

Våra aktieportföljer ingår i premiumpaket. Klicka här för att läsa mer om våra aktieportföljer och deras utveckling. 

Information

  • Direction: Long-only (no short positions)
  • Strategic direction: Trendföljning med fundamentafilter
  • Investment universe: USA (Norden fasas successivt ut)
  • Portföljvikter: Volatility-adjusted weights
  • Rebalancing frequency: Månadsvis
För vem passar portföljen?
För dig som vill ha exponering mot USA, men inte nöjer dig med att ”äga index”. Portföljen kombinerar trend, fundamenta och riskkontroll för dig som vill ha en systematisk edge istället för ett värdeviktat index.

Development

Hittills under 2026 har modellportföljen stigit med 6,6 %, vilket kan jämföras med SPDR S&P 500 ETF som fallit med -1,9 % under samma period. 

  • De största positiva bidragen har kommit från Western Digital Corp (+1,9%), Lam Research Corp (+1,4%) och Attendo (+1,1%).
  • Största sänken för portföljen har varit Applovin Corp (-1,1%), Fox Corp (-1,1%), Palantir Technologies (-0,7%).
Utveckling månad (%)*
År Jan Feb Mar Apr Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Total
2023       1,2 3,0 1,0 0,8 -0,7 -1,8 1,2 -2,2 2,2 4,6
2024 5,6 3,4 5,7 3,0 6,6 0,2 3,3 0,1 -0,2 -3,5 1,3 0,9 29,1
2025 4,6 -0,9 -9,8 3,3 7,6 4,1 1,9 -0,9 4,4 2,2 -1,5 -0,6 14,0
2026 2,0 4,6                     6,6

*Utveckling presenteras i SEK. Utvecklingen är endast vägledande och beror på exekvering, slippage och courtage.

Utveckling och drawdown, Year-to-Date


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More information:

A factor-based equity strategy systematically invests in stocks that exhibit certain characteristics – called factors – that have historically been associated with outperformance. Common examples include value, momentum, quality and low volatility.

The strategies are based on objective rules and data-driven analysis, not subjective judgments or gut feelings. This makes decision-making more consistent and less sensitive to market fluctuations. The portfolios are rebalanced regularly, often monthly, to adhere to the factors on which the strategy is based.

It is important to understand that factor strategies still invest in stocks and therefore have a high correlation with the stock market. They can therefore be expected to decline in value during broad market declines. Another risk is that factors can underperform for longer periods, which requires patience and discipline from the investor. The biggest risk is often not the model itself, but rather abandoning the strategy when things go wrong.

The Value & Momentum strategy combines two well-documented factors: low valuation and strong price momentum. The aim is to find stocks that are both fundamentally attractive and show a positive trend. The combination makes it possible to avoid so-called value traps – stocks that look cheap but continue to lose value.

Unlike a pure momentum strategy, which focuses solely on price gains and is often driven by a few big winners, Value & Momentum tends to provide a more even distribution of gains and losses. It reduces the reliance on individual extreme movements. At the same time, the strategy may miss some highly valued growth stocks with strong momentum that do not pass the value filter. Pure momentum often works best in strong bull markets with clear trends, while the combination of value and momentum tends to be more robust over time and in different market environments.

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Posted by Erik Martin Hansén
After studying at Uppsala University, Erik Hansén has worked in the financial industry since 2007 at several brokerage firms and traded privately. In his role as an analyst, Erik has written highly regarded market letters.

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